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Tropical Wave Approaches Leeward Islands as Hurricane Season Continues
4 Oct
Summary
- NHC drops chances of two systems near Florida developing
- Tropical wave in Atlantic could become next tropical depression or storm
- Flooding, high surf, and beach erosion expected in Florida

On October 5th, 2025, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) has reported that the chances of two systems near Florida developing have been reduced to 0%. A weak low-pressure area near the northwestern Bahamas had been producing disorganized shower activity, but the NHC has now dropped the chances of development from 10% to 0%.
However, the NHC is closely monitoring a tropical wave in the Atlantic that could potentially form into the season's next tropical depression or storm. This system, located several hundred miles south of the Cape Verde Islands, is expected to see gradual development over the next week as it moves across the central tropical Atlantic and approaches the Leeward Islands.
While Florida is expected to avoid direct impacts from these systems, the region is still bracing for potential flooding, high surf, and moderate beach and dune erosion in the coming days. The National Weather Service in Melbourne has issued a flood watch for the eastern Central Florida counties, with 1-3 inches of rain possible. High tides may also bring waters 1-2 feet higher than normal, leading to flooding of low-lying roads near the shore.