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Polar Vortex Disrupted, But US Spared Cold Blast
1 Nov
Summary
- Polar vortex winds dropping significantly due to an unusual disruption.
- Coldest air is centered over northern Russia, not the US.
- Warm air in Canada is preventing a major Arctic outbreak.

A rare disruption to the polar vortex is currently underway. Meteorologists note that winds high above the Arctic are predicted to fall to 9 mph on November 3rd, a stark contrast to the usual 58 mph. This unusual atmospheric event, however, is not expected to result in significant cold air reaching the United States.
The primary reason for the lack of an Arctic blast is the distribution of cold air. Most of the exceptionally cold air is currently situated over northern Russia, with any southward movement more likely to affect Asia and Europe. Furthermore, lingering warmth in Canada, with temperatures 10-20 degrees Fahrenheit above average in northern territories and provinces, is preventing the cold air mass from reaching the central and eastern U.S.
While some cooler temperatures are anticipated in parts of the U.S. during the first half of November, these are attributed to local conditions rather than the polar vortex. The pattern is described as more typical of mid-fall than a severe winter disruption. Conditions could change later in November and into December, potentially allowing chillier air to move south.