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Frost-Free Fall: Middle Tennessee Enjoys Warmer-Than-Usual Autumn
4 Oct
Summary
- First frost not expected until mid-November 2025
- Above-average temperatures forecast through October 2025
- Fall 2025 predicted to be warmer and drier than normal
As of October 4th, 2025, Middle Tennessee residents can breathe a sigh of relief - the region's first frost of the season is not expected for quite some time. According to the National Weather Service, all outlooks point to a strong probability of above-normal temperatures continuing through the end of this month.
Typically, the Nashville area sees its first frost around October 28th, but this year, the Old Farmer's Almanac predicts it will arrive closer to October 25th. However, the meteorologist notes that "higher than average" temperatures could further delay the onset of frost, potentially pushing it into mid-November.
Looking ahead, the 2025 fall season is set to be warmer and drier than usual across the Southeast, including Tennessee. September is projected to be about 3 degrees above normal, with below-average rainfall. October is expected to be slightly cooler than the average, but still with less precipitation than typical.
