Florida Flooded, Tropics Quiet: What's Next?

As of August 3, 2026, parts of Florida are experiencing significant rainfall, with flood watches and advisories in effect for numerous counties. Some areas could see up to 6 inches of rain today, adding to the 5 to 9 inches received over the past weekend. While the Atlantic tropics are currently quiet, forecasters are closely watching three tropical waves for potential development in the eastern Gulf and along the Southeast coast during the first two weeks of August. The Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30, historically picks up activity in August, with its peak occurring between mid-August and mid-October.

No tropical cyclone activity is expected over the next seven days, as dry air and wind shear are inhibiting development. Tropical waves are clusters of showers and thunderstorms that serve as the origins for many tropical storms, with about 10-15% developing into tropical systems annually. Meanwhile, the National Weather Service has issued flood watches and advisories for the central Panhandle and Big Bend region of Florida. A flood watch indicates conditions are favorable for flooding, while a flood advisory suggests a weather event that may cause significant inconvenience but is not expected to be severe enough for a warning. Typical summer conditions are anticipated to return mid-week.