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Florida Braces for 'Below-Normal' Hurricane Season
29 May
Summary
- Below-normal hurricane activity is expected for South Florida this season.
- Florida Keys have the highest hurricane potential risk for the 2026 season.
- Colorado State University forecasts 13 named storms and six hurricanes.
As the Atlantic hurricane season begins on June 1, South Florida residents are advised to prepare for a "below-normal" level of activity. Current tropical outlooks show no immediate concerns in the Atlantic basin, though conditions may become more favorable for development in the Gulf or western Caribbean next week.
AccuWeather experts note that warm waters in the Gulf and southwestern Atlantic could support tropical development near Florida in early June. Despite these possibilities, early-season tropical waves are not currently a significant concern due to dry air and wind shear.
Colorado State University's forecast predicts 13 named storms and six hurricanes for the 2026 season, with two anticipated to be Category 3 or higher. While this is slightly below the climatological average, the Florida Keys are identified as having the highest hurricane potential risk within the state.
