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Dry Air and Wind Shear Curb Tropical Activity as Hurricane Season Peaks
8 Sep
Summary
- Frost advisories issued as Florida awaits next tropical disturbance
- Dry air and wind shear limiting tropical development in the Atlantic
- Forecasters predict increased activity in the next 2 weeks

As of September 8th, 2025, the Atlantic hurricane season has remained relatively quiet, despite being at the peak of activity. Frost advisories have been issued for several locations in the United States, while Florida residents continue to wait for the next tropical disturbance to appear on National Hurricane Center maps.
The lack of tropical development is due to dry air and wind shear in the region, according to AccuWeather. The busiest portion of the Atlantic hurricane season typically runs from mid-August through mid-October, with the peak hitting around September 10th. However, the National Hurricane Center is currently tracking only three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, including one in the western Caribbean.
Looking ahead, forecasters from Colorado State University predict that activity will pick up over the next couple of weeks. Their two-week forecast for September 3-16 suggests "aggressive" tropical cyclone development, with potential formations in the eastern Atlantic as well as the western Caribbean and southern Gulf of Mexico. The primary threat for major hurricanes in early to mid-September is expected to be in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Despite the current lull, officials continue to urge Florida residents and all those in hurricane-prone areas to remain vigilant and prepared. As the National Hurricane Center in Miami posted on social media, "It only takes one storm to make it an impactful year for your community."