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Atlantic Quiet: Record Hurricane Season Looms?
16 Sep
Summary
- A central Atlantic disturbance is battling wind shear and dry air.
- No hurricane has formed in the Atlantic basin as of Sept. 16.
- A record for the latest first hurricane formation may be broken.
A disturbance in the central Atlantic is currently facing wind shear and dry air, with its development potential uncertain. Forecasters note that conditions may become more favorable in the coming days, though significant development chances remain low. This system is not considered a threat to the U.S. or Florida.
The Atlantic hurricane season has experienced an unusual quiet period, with no tropical storms forming since early September. As of Sept. 16, there have been five tropical storms but no hurricanes recorded. This lack of activity could lead to a record for the latest first hurricane formation of the year, potentially by Sept. 22.
Historically, by mid-September, several named storms and hurricanes are typically active. This season's quiet is attributed partly to strengthening El Niño conditions, which increase wind shear. Another area of interest is the northern Gulf of Mexico, where a "homegrown" tropical threat is being monitored, though with limited preparation time for residents if development occurs close to shore.
