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Atlantic Alert: Disturbances Monitor as Season Peaks
23 Aug
Summary
- Three Atlantic disturbances are being monitored by the NHC.
- A tropical wave off Africa shows increased development chances.
- Pacific is more active due to El Niño, contrasting Atlantic.
As the Atlantic hurricane season nears its traditional peak, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring three disturbances. A tropical wave off the coast of Africa is the most closely watched, with forecasters assigning it a 40 percent chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next seven days.
Two other systems are under surveillance: a non-tropical low pressure system northeast of the Azores with a 20 percent development chance, and a weak low pressure area east-southwest of Bermuda with a 10 percent chance of formation within 48 hours.
This increased attention comes weeks before the September 10 peak of the season. Historically, late August through October is the most active period. This contrasts with the Pacific, which has seen considerable activity, including Hurricane Lala impacting Hawaii.
The active El Niño phase is largely credited for the Pacific's robustness, fostering storm formation. Conversely, El Niño has contributed to a more subdued Atlantic start by enhancing wind shear, though forecasters anticipate a potential shift in momentum.
