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Yankees Eye Red Sox Sweep to Extend Lead
21 Apr
Summary
- Yankees hold a four-game lead over the Red Sox.
- Red Sox starter Connelly Early's underlying metrics are weak.
- Boston's offense ranks among the league's worst in several categories.
The New York Yankees (13-9) have an opportunity to build a substantial lead over their rivals, the Boston Red Sox, by performing well in their upcoming three-game series at Fenway Park. Currently four games ahead, a sweep in Boston could extend that margin to seven games, increasing pressure on the Red Sox early in the season.
Despite Boston being a slight favorite for the series opener, the pitching matchup for Tuesday presents a seemingly lopsided contest on paper. Boston's Connelly Early boasts a 2.29 ERA, but his underlying metrics, including a 5.24 xERA and poor batted-ball data, suggest potential regression. Conversely, the Yankees' Luis Gil has struggled with a 7.00 ERA and command issues.
However, Boston's betting line is tempered by the struggles of its offense, which ranks near the bottom of the league in wOBA, wRC+, and slugging percentage. The Yankees' offense, while not at its 2025 peak, remains potent and excels at drawing walks, a weakness for Early. With a strong bullpen ready and facing a struggling offense, the Yankees are poised to leverage this series.
