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No. 1 Texas Faces Upset-Minded Oklahoma
10 Oct
Summary
- No. 1 Texas Longhorns face Oklahoma Sooners in Red River Rivalry.
- Texas is a 7.5-point favorite at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
- SportsLine model predicts over 39.5 total points in the game.
The highly anticipated Red River Rivalry is set to take place on Saturday, featuring the top-ranked No. 1 Texas Longhorns against the Oklahoma Sooners. Texas, with a perfect 4-0 record, is led by quarterback Arch Manning and boasts one of the nation's most efficient offenses. The Longhorns are currently favored by 7.5 points at the historic Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
Oklahoma enters the contest with a 2-2 record, having faced challenges earlier in the 2026 season. Despite their record, the Sooners' offense, with John Mateer at quarterback, has shown potential. The game's over/under is set at 39.5 points, and SportsLine's projection model anticipates the combined score to exceed this total, forecasting approximately 42 points.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates games 10,000 times, suggests an Over 39.5 points bet holds value, projecting the offenses to combine for enough points to surpass the current line. The model also indicates a lean on one side of the spread, which it has hit over 50% of the time in simulations, building on a successful 40-35 record on top-rated college football picks.
