Which NHL teams have seen the biggest swing in playoff chances?

The Maple Leafs, Vancouver Canucks, Panthers, and Anaheim Ducks have seen swings over 25% in their playoff chances.

Are the San Jose Sharks projected to make the 2025 NHL playoffs?

Yes, the San Jose Sharks are projected to secure the final playoff spot in the West, despite low odds.

Why are NHL playoff races so tight this season?

Parity in standings, with teams closely clustered in points and overtime points being awarded, has created a tight race.

Home / Sports / NHL Parity: Underdogs Thrive in Tight Playoff Race

NHL Parity: Underdogs Thrive in Tight Playoff Race

2 Dec

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Summary

Many preseason favorites are not in playoff spots.
Underdog teams have unexpectedly secured playoff positions.
The San Jose Sharks are projected into a playoff spot.

NHL Parity: Underdogs Thrive in Tight Playoff Race

The current NHL season presents a stark contrast to preseason expectations, with many favored teams finding themselves outside of playoff contention. Teams like the Winnipeg Jets and Toronto Maple Leafs, once projected for high success, have seen their implied playoff chances dwindle considerably. Their performance on the ice has not matched early predictions, leading to a recalibration of expectations.

Conversely, teams with low preseason expectations, including the Chicago Blackhawks, Seattle Kraken, Pittsburgh Penguins, and Philadelphia Flyers, are currently occupying playoff spots. While their odds have only slightly improved, their presence in these positions underscores the season's surprising parity. This close competition means even slight advantages in strength of schedule can significantly impact projections.

Among the biggest surprises is the San Jose Sharks, who, despite a difficult early schedule, are projected to sneak into the Western Conference playoffs. Their odds have improved, but they remain a contrarian bet. This tight clustering of teams, with small point differentials, suggests a cautious market that is waiting for clear frontrunners to emerge before significantly altering odds.