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NBA Insider Reveals ROY, MVP Secrets
18 Mar
Summary
- Kon Knueppel is predicted as Rookie of the Year.
- Deni Avdija is favored for Most Improved Player.
- Powell values the 'eye test' and team impact for awards.
Shaun Powell, an NBA reporter since 1985, participated in a Reddit AMA, offering his predictions for various NBA awards and discussing his MVP ladder methodology. Powell identified Kon Knueppel as his projected Rookie of the Year, citing his durability and impact on the Charlotte Hornets. For Most Improved Player, Deni Avdija of the Portland Trail Blazers was his choice, highlighting his significant role. He also touched on the Sixth Man award, leaning towards Payton Pritchard or Derrick White if eligible.
Powell elaborated on his MVP ladder criteria, emphasizing a holistic approach that combines statistical performance, impact on team winning, and the 'eye test.' He cautioned against recency bias, stressing that the ladder reflects season-long contributions rather than just recent strong performances. Powell also addressed a question about Jaylen Brown's placement over Luka Dončić on the ladder, noting Brown's crucial role for the Boston Celtics when Jayson Tatum was absent.
Discussing hypothetical conference realignments and team futures, Powell acknowledged the dynamic nature of the NBA, where team fortunes can shift rapidly. He also expressed admiration for Naz Reid as a favorite non-starter to watch, praising his immediate impact off the bench. Regarding anomalous individual performances like Bam Adebayo's scoring outburst, Powell attributed it to a 'perfect storm' of hot shooting against a struggling opponent, while still crediting the legitimate scoring for the majority of points.
When comparing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokić, Powell noted SGA's edge in consistency and two-way play, particularly on defense. He acknowledged strong cases for Jokić winning MVP in past seasons and potentially this year. Powell also considered potential Comeback Player of the Year candidates, though noting the award is no longer given. Finally, he projected potential Eastern Conference Finals matchups between Boston and Cleveland, and Western Conference Finals between Oklahoma City and San Antonio, citing team strengths and recent developments.
