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McClure's Model Bets Big on Bristol Surprise
10 Apr
Summary
- Model fades Ryan Blaney, a favorite, despite no Cup win at Bristol.
- Logano, a two-time Bristol winner, is projected for a strong run.
- Three longshots over +2000 are backed, including two at +4000.

Mike McClure's advanced computer model has revealed its predictions for the 2026 Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway. The model, which has accurately predicted 29 winners since 2021, is fading Ryan Blaney, a perceived favorite with odds of +600, despite his previous success in lower NASCAR series at the track. Blaney has yet to secure a Cup Series victory at Bristol in 19 starts.
In a surprising turn, Joey Logano, with odds of +1900, is projected for a strong showing. Logano boasts two previous wins at Bristol and has shown consistent performance on short tracks, with five consecutive top-10 finishes in such races.
Furthermore, McClure's model identifies three longshot drivers with odds exceeding +2000 who are expected to contend. Two of these drivers are at massive odds of at least +4000, presenting a potential for significant payouts for bettors.