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Model Predicts Over 8 Runs in Pirates-Tigers Game
19 Aug
Summary
- Model simulated the game 10,000 times, predicting over 8 combined runs.
- Paul Skenes has a 6.52 ERA over his last four starts.
- Recent Tigers-Pirates matchups have favored high scoring with a 7-3 Over record.

The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the Detroit Tigers for a Wednesday matinee featuring a pitching matchup between Paul Skenes and Jackson Jobe. Skenes, with a 6.52 ERA in his last four starts, has seen the total go over in 16 of his 25 starts this season.
Detroit's Jackson Jobe makes his third start of the year, carrying a 5.50 ERA over his last eight starts dating back to last season. Recent games between the Tigers and Pirates have been high-scoring, with the over hitting in 7 out of the last 10 matchups.
SportsLine's projection model simulated the game 10,000 times, forecasting 8.9 combined runs. The model favors the Over 8 runs for betting purposes, citing Skenes' recent struggles and the historical scoring trends between the two clubs.