Can Michigan make the College Football Playoff with two losses?

If Michigan defeats No. 1 Ohio State, it could create a path to the College Football Playoff, even with two losses, but tiebreakers present challenges.

What is Michigan's chance of beating Ohio State?

ESPN Analytics estimates Michigan's probability of defeating Ohio State at 21.8%.

Does Michigan need to win the Big Ten Championship to make the playoffs?

It's uncertain if Michigan would be penalized for not making the Big Ten Championship, but an upset win over Ohio State could be enough for playoff consideration.

Home / Sports / Wolverines Upset No. 1 Buckeyes for CFP Berth?

Wolverines Upset No. 1 Buckeyes for CFP Berth?

25 Nov, 2025

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Summary

Michigan faces undefeated No. 1 Ohio State at home.
An upset win could propel Michigan into CFP contention.
ESPN Analytics gives Michigan a low chance of victory and playoff berth.

Wolverines Upset No. 1 Buckeyes for CFP Berth?

The No. 18 Michigan Wolverines are set to challenge the undefeated No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes in a pivotal Saturday afternoon clash at Michigan Stadium. This highly anticipated game raises significant questions regarding the Wolverines' potential College Football Playoff (CFP) berth should they emerge victorious.

An upset win against the nation's top-ranked team would present a compelling argument for Michigan's inclusion, even with two losses and the possibility of not advancing to the Big Ten Championship Game. However, existing tiebreakers favoring Indiana and Oregon present further complications.

Despite the high stakes, ESPN Analytics suggests Michigan has only a 21.8% chance of defeating Ohio State and a mere 6.8% likelihood of making the playoffs. Overcoming these odds could see Michigan contend for its fourth playoff appearance in five seasons.

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