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Mets vs. Royals: Slumping Teams Clash
8 Jul
Summary
- Both teams have poor run differentials in 2026.
- Seth Lugo, former Met, pitches for Kansas City.
- Juan Soto is a strong prop bet to hit a home run.
The New York Mets are set to host the Kansas City Royals for a game on Tuesday, July 7, 2026, following a recent win against the Atlanta Braves. Both the Mets and the Royals are at the bottom of their divisions in 2026, marked by significantly negative run differentials. Kansas City will feature former Met Seth Lugo on the mound, who has a 4.20 ERA and shows signs of potential regression.
The Mets, yet to announce their starting pitcher, are facing a Royals team that has struggled on the road. While New York's offense has been a weakness, ranking 27th in wRC+, Kansas City's offense is also below average. Lugo's advanced metrics, including an expected ERA of 5.34, suggest he may be due for a downturn. Given Lugo's performance and the Royals' recent losses in his starts, the Mets are considered the favorites to win this series opener at home. A notable prop bet focuses on Mets' star Juan Soto to hit a home run, given his strong performance against right-handed pitchers and Lugo's susceptibility to home runs.
