Mets Aim for Fourth Straight Win vs. Padres

The New York Mets are looking to extend their winning streak to four games when they face the San Diego Padres at Citi Field. This matchup features a pitching advantage for the Mets, with Nolan McLean on the mound. McLean has demonstrated exceptional skill, ranking in the 98th percentile for fastball run value and striking out 28% of batters faced.

The Mets' offense is expected to perform well against Padres starter Walker Buehler, who has allowed a high average exit velocity. New York ranks third in MLB in hard-hit percentage, suggesting they can exploit Buehler's tendency to give up hard contact.

Furthermore, the game is predicted to surpass an over/under of 7.5 runs. Despite both teams having below-average run-scoring reputations, their underlying offensive metrics, such as xwOBA, indicate potential for more scoring than their season averages suggest.

Carson Benge of the Mets is also identified as a strong candidate for a home run. The rookie has shown considerable power, especially in August, and faces a pitcher in Buehler who has given up 14 home runs this season.