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Iowa vs. Nebraska: CBB Sweet 16 Showdown
27 Mar
Summary
- Iowa and Nebraska compete in the 2026 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16.
- Nebraska is a 1.5-point favorite against Iowa.
- SportsLine's model predicts the Over on 131.5 total points.

The 2026 NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 will feature a compelling matchup between the ninth-seeded Iowa Hawkeyes and the fourth-seeded Nebraska Cornhuskers in the South Region. Iowa advanced by securing a thrilling 73-72 win in their previous game, while Nebraska edged out their opponent 74-72.
The Hawkeyes, with a 23-12 record, enter the contest having won two consecutive games. The Cornhuskers, boasting a 28-6 record, have been strong recently, winning six of their last eight. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET from Houston.
According to betting odds, Nebraska is a 1.5-point favorite, with the over/under set at 131.5 total points. A SportsLine projection model, which simulates games 10,000 times, has predicted the Over on the total points, noting a tendency for the Over to hit in recent head-to-head matchups and for Iowa's games.
The model anticipates strong offensive performances from both teams, with multiple players projected to score significantly. Specifically, Iowa's Bennett Stirtz is expected to lead his team with 19.8 points, while Nebraska's Pryce Sandfort is projected to score 18.6 points. The model forecasts a combined 146 points, exceeding the set total in 68% of its simulations.