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Cubs vs. Giants: Model predicts under 11 runs
5 Jun
Summary
- Model simulates Cubs vs. Giants game 10,000 times.
- The prediction is for under 11 combined runs.
- One side of the money line has value, model says.
The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the upcoming San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs game 10,000 times. The model's primary prediction for Friday's matchup is for the total combined runs to be under 11.
This prediction comes despite the over/under being set at 11, which is one of the highest totals seen this season, with wind anticipated to blow out at Wrigley Field. Historically, games involving either the Cubs or Giants with totals higher than nine runs have seen the over hit frequently.
However, the model also notes that the Giants rank 26th in scoring and the Cubs' bats have performed better on the road. The model projects 8.8 combined runs, hitting the under in 80% of simulations. It also indicates that one side of the money line presents significant value, offering a specific pick for bettors.
