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Canadiens on Brink: Game 6 vs. Sabres for Series Win
16 May
Summary
- Montreal leads series 3-2 heading into Game 6 at home.
- SportsLine model predicts under 6.5 total goals scored.
- Only Cole Caufield projected to score more than 0.50 goals.
The Montreal Canadiens are poised to clinch their second-round playoff series against the Buffalo Sabres on Saturday, May 17, 2026. Currently leading the series 3-2, the Canadiens have an opportunity to secure the victory on home ice at Bell Centre. Montreal secured a pivotal Game 5 win on the road, giving them the advantage heading into what could be the deciding game.
SportsLine's projection model anticipates a game with fewer than 6.5 total goals, as three previous games in the series also saw six or fewer goals scored. The model specifically projects only Montreal's Cole Caufield to exceed 0.50 goals in the upcoming matchup. Additionally, the model favors betting the 'Under' on the total goals, suggesting it represents a value play.
Goaltender projections show Jakub Dobes of Montreal making approximately 21.4 saves, while Buffalo's Alex Lyon is expected to stop around 21.8 shots, with a projected save percentage near 89%. The model has also identified value on one side of the money line, based on 10,000 simulations of the game.
