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Bublik Faces Paul in U.S. Open Rematch
4 Sep
Summary
- Bublik and Paul meet again in the U.S. Open third round.
- Paul leads the head-to-head series, but Bublik won last year.
- Odds favor Paul, but Bublik is a value underdog pick.
Alexander Bublik, ranked 15th, and American Tommy Paul, ranked 20th, are set to face each other in the third round of the U.S. Open on Friday, September 4. This marks their fifth career meeting and a repeat of last year's third-round U.S. Open encounter.
Paul has a 3-1 lead in their head-to-head series, but Bublik notably eliminated Paul from the U.S. Open in the third round in 2025. Paul also lost to Bublik in straight sets at Wimbledon in 2024.
While oddsmakers favor Paul at -176, Bublik is positioned as a compelling underdog at +139. Analysts suggest value in betting on Bublik to cover a +1.5 set spread, given his past U.S. Open success against Paul and Paul's struggles in dropping sets in early rounds.
