Atalanta's European Drought vs. Bayern's Knockout Might

Atalanta is set to play its 14th match against German opposition in major European competition, with a record of seven wins, three draws, and three losses. Notably, they have won four of their last five games against German sides since the start of 2024. This fixture marks the first European encounter between Bayern Munich and Atalanta.

Bayern Munich has a historical advantage over Italian teams in knockout ties, having won their last four such encounters in the UEFA Champions League before a recent defeat to Internazionale. However, Atalanta has struggled defensively in the knockout stages, conceding 18 goals in nine games. Bayern, conversely, averages 1.9 goals per game in the knockout rounds.

Bayern Munich has been dominant in the round of 16, losing only once in their last 12 appearances. Despite this, their most recent loss in this stage was to an Italian opponent, Lazio. Atalanta has won only one of their last seven knockout stage games, though they did secure a significant 4-1 victory in their most recent tie.

Individually, Harry Kane has been a significant contributor for Bayern, directly involved in 33 goals in 33 Champions League games since the 2023-24 season. Atalanta's offensive play has also seen a boost with Charles De Ketelaere starting, averaging 1.57 goals per game compared to 0.67 when he doesn't start. Lazar Samardzic of Atalanta ranks high in progressive carries, while Bayern's midfield boasts two players with over 100 line-breaking passes.