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Shanahan's Run-First Offense: Efficiency Over Volume?
19 May
Summary
- 49ers ranked second in passing DVOA despite low pass play volume.
- Shanahan's playcalling shows a pass rate below expected in key situations.
- Offense aims for running game efficiency in 2026 with new additions.
The San Francisco 49ers' offense demonstrated exceptional efficiency under head coach Kyle Shanahan, even with a tendency towards run-heavy playcalling. In the 2023 season, the team secured a Super Bowl berth, finishing second in passing DVOA and overall offensive DVOA. This success was achieved despite a below-average pass rate over expected (PROE) of -19%.
Shanahan's inclination for the run game is further highlighted by his red zone and third-down playcalling, which also trended below league average. Despite these tendencies, the 49ers' offense proved highly effective at generating substantial yardage and points.
For the upcoming 2026 season, the 49ers are focusing on improving their running game's efficiency. With the expected return of key players and the addition of new offensive talent, the team aims to build upon their success, with Christian McCaffrey anticipated to be a major beneficiary.
