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Oregon Underwater Volcano Eruption Delayed to 2026
8 Dec
Summary
- Axial Seamount's eruption is now predicted for mid-to-late 2026.
- New research uses a physics-based model for eruption prediction.
- An eruption poses no danger to humans or the ocean surface.

Scientists now forecast the Axial Seamount, an active underwater volcano off the Oregon Coast, to erupt in mid-to-late 2026. This revised prediction stems from ongoing monitoring and analysis of its volcanic activity. Previous forecasts had anticipated an eruption in 2025, but current data indicates a later timeline.
Researchers at Oregon State University are initiating a novel experiment employing a physics-based model, leveraging real-time data from the Regional Cabled Array. This advanced approach aims to enhance the accuracy of predicting volcanic eruptions from this deep-sea geological feature.
Should the Axial Seamount erupt as predicted, it poses no threat to humans or the ocean's surface. The resulting lava flows will be confined to the seafloor, subtly altering its landscape, while any associated seismic activity is unlikely to be felt onshore.




