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Kew Gardens Head Fears Tree Catastrophe This Autumn
1 Sep
Summary
- Trees are brittle due to extreme summer heat and drought.
- El Niño winds predicted for autumn could cause widespread tree mortality.
- Some tree species may be lost from landscapes where they are common.

This autumn, trees across Europe face unprecedented peril due to a combination of extreme summer heat and predicted El Niño-driven winds. A prolonged period of record-breaking heatwaves has caused many trees to wilt and shed leaves early, significantly weakening their structure and making them brittle. Experts like Kevin Martin, head of tree collections at Kew Gardens, express grave concerns.
Martin highlighted that trees have not grown as they normally would, reducing their flexibility. The anticipated strong winds from El Niño, exacerbated by global heating, could cause trees to fail at their roots, especially where dry conditions are followed by heavy rain. This could lead to significant mortality, potentially causing species like silver birch, beech, and oak to disappear from familiar landscapes.
The impact is disproportionately affecting older trees, with ancient oaks in England showing signs of dying. Martin anticipates a much worse situation than in 2022, predicting substantial tree loss at Kew and across the southeast. However, the full extent of this year's extreme weather's impact will only be apparent in the next two to three years, as trees already stressed may not survive further challenges.