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Florida Cities Brace for 'Overdue' Hurricane Strikes
27 Apr
Summary
- Tampa and Miami face high hurricane vulnerability due to low-lying terrain.
- Miami has not had a direct hurricane hit since 2005, far beyond average.
- Tampa has avoided direct hurricane hits since 1921, a streak of luck.

Forecasters are increasingly concerned about the hurricane vulnerability of Florida's major coastal cities, Tampa and Miami. Both regions have experienced an unusually long period without direct hurricane landfalls. Miami, in particular, has not experienced a direct hit since 2005, significantly exceeding its typical hurricane return interval of six to eight years.
Tampa has been remarkably fortunate, with its last direct hurricane impact occurring in 1921. Despite several close calls in recent years, including Hurricane Milton in 2024, the city has narrowly avoided severe consequences. Experts attribute this streak to luck rather than any geographical or meteorological factors.