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Tiny Tremors Signal Giant Danger in NMSZ
18 Dec
Summary
- Dozens of small earthquakes detected in the New Madrid Seismic Zone.
- The region is overdue for a major earthquake, scientists warn.
- A large quake could cause over 80,000 deaths and billions in damage.

The New Madrid Seismic Zone (NMSZ) has recently recorded at least 38 low-level seismic events, raising concerns about a potential catastrophic earthquake. These tremors, occurring near the anniversary of the massive 1811-1812 earthquake swarm, have scientists on alert. The NMSZ is known for its intraplate seismic activity, a geological anomaly far from typical tectonic plate boundaries. Despite its unusual nature, this zone is considered highly active east of the Rocky Mountains.
Scientists estimate that large earthquakes like those in 1811-1812 could strike the NMSZ every 200 to 800 years, placing the region squarely within the window for the next major event. While recent quakes were too minor to be felt, they highlight the ongoing seismic stress. Experts warn of a 40 percent chance of a magnitude 6.0 earthquake within the next fifty years, a seismic oddity in the stable North American plate's interior.




