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El Nino Threatens India's 2026 Monsoon Rainfall
7 Apr
Summary
- 2026 monsoon rainfall in India is predicted to be below normal.
- El Nino weather pattern is the primary cause of the expected deficit.
- Official monsoon forecast from IMD is expected next week.
India's crucial monsoon season in 2026 is anticipated to deliver below-normal rainfall. Private weather forecaster Skymet projects that precipitation will likely be around 94% of the long-term average. This reduction is primarily attributed to the influence of the El Nino weather pattern.
The El Nino effect is expected to particularly impact the latter half of the monsoon season, which typically spans from June to September. This period is vital for India's agricultural sector, and any significant deviation from expected rainfall patterns could have considerable consequences for crop yields and water availability.
Meanwhile, the state-run India Meteorological Department is expected to release its official forecast for the 2026 monsoon season in the upcoming week. This will provide an authoritative perspective on the anticipated rainfall across the country.
