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Milder May Expected: India's Weather Outlook
2 May
Summary
- Daytime temperatures to be normal to below normal for most of India.
- Above-normal rainfall is predicted for most of the country in May.
- El Niño conditions are likely to establish by May, impacting the monsoon.
India is forecast to experience a milder May with daytime temperatures expected to be normal to below normal across most of the nation, with exceptions in parts of southern peninsular, northeast, and northwest India.
Night temperatures, however, are predicted to be above normal nationwide. The forecast suggests a higher likelihood of thunderstorm activity and more frequent western disturbances contributing to the milder conditions.
Overall rainfall for May is projected to be above normal, exceeding 110% of the long period average, with most regions receiving normal to above-normal precipitation.
Despite the milder outlook, some areas including Himalayan foothills, east coast states, Gujarat, and Maharashtra may experience above-normal heatwave days.
Climate patterns indicate a 60% probability of El Niño conditions developing by May, June, and July, which typically saps monsoon rains in India, although neutral Indian Ocean Dipole conditions are currently prevailing.
