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Florida Heat Rises Amid Tropical Weather Watch
14 Jul
Summary
- Forecasters note a low chance of Gulf development this weekend or early next week.
- Heat advisories issued for South and Southwest Florida with heat index 105-110.
- Atlantic hurricane season runs June 1 through November 30, with peak in September.

Forecasters are observing a possibility of tropical activity in the Gulf of Mexico over the upcoming weekend or early next week. However, the National Hurricane Center currently indicates no expected tropical development within the next seven days. Meanwhile, sweltering heat continues to affect South and Southwest Florida, prompting heat advisories. Temperatures are predicted to be in the mid to upper 90s, with heat indices ranging from 105 to 110.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially spans from June 1 to November 30, with the peak activity typically occurring around September 10. While two tropical waves are being monitored, current conditions like dry air and strong wind shear are making it difficult for tropical systems to form. Experts emphasize the importance of monitoring all tropical waves throughout the season, as some may intensify upon reaching warmer waters near the United States.
In the eastern Pacific, tropical activity remains robust with several disturbances being tracked. The National Hurricane Center has recently updated its advisories. Although some AI models suggest a potential for development in the Gulf of Mexico, particularly near Florida's Big Bend or northern peninsula over the weekend, most indications point to any systems forming being non-tropical in nature and moving north quickly. Heavy rain is the primary potential impact for the Florida Panhandle and surrounding areas.
Residents are reminded that even in a below-average hurricane season, preparedness is crucial. The sales tax on specific hurricane supplies was permanently removed in Florida starting August 1, 2025, making essential items more accessible.