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El Niño Supercharged: Global Weather Chaos Looms
16 Sep
Summary
- El Niño is intensifying into a very strong event with global impacts.
- Sea temperatures will rise significantly above average, peaking in December.
- Expect widespread flooding, extreme heat, and potential food supply disruptions.

An El Niño event, currently intensifying, is predicted to become exceptionally strong, with potential for "supersized" global impacts on weather. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirms this phenomenon is firmly established and expected to peak in December, with sea surface temperatures possibly rising to 3-4°C above average.
This intensification poses significant risks of floods, droughts, and extreme heat worldwide. UN Secretary-General António Guterres has warned that the planet is in "uncharted waters" due to escalating climate risks, demanding exceptional preparation and response.
Experts anticipate widespread disruptions to communities and economies. In the UK, forecasts suggest wetter, stormier conditions this autumn and winter, increasing the likelihood of flooding and strong winds. Additionally, 2027 is projected to be the warmest year on record, potentially exceeding 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels.
Global food supply chains and energy security may be affected, leading to potential price increases. Regions such as the southwestern US, East Africa, and southeast China are bracing for heavy rain and flooding, while the Amazon basin, Southern Africa, and eastern Australia could face drought.