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UN Warns: Food Price Surge Imminent Within 12 Months
20 May
Summary
- Strait of Hormuz closure signals systemic agrifood shock.
- Global food prices could surge within six to 12 months.
- Immediate action needed on trade routes and export bans.

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz is poised to initiate a systemic agrifood shock, potentially leading to a significant global food price crisis within six to 12 months. The UN's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) emphasized that this disruption transcends a mere shipping issue, with the window for preventive action rapidly diminishing.
Governments and international bodies must urgently consider alternative trade routes, curb export restrictions, safeguard humanitarian food supplies, and establish mechanisms to absorb increased transport costs. The FAO advocates for immediate strategies to bolster the absorption capacity and resilience of nations facing this potential choke point.
Adding to concerns, the FAO Food Price Index has seen a consecutive rise, influenced by high energy costs and ongoing Middle East conflict disruptions. The agency also noted the potential for the crisis to deepen with the predicted onset of the El Nino weather phenomenon, which could exacerbate drought conditions and disrupt rainfall patterns globally.