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Ulta Bets on Makeup to Outshine Rivals
20 Apr
Summary
- Jefferies upgrades Ulta to buy, raising price target to $700.
- Company strategy focuses on emerging brands and makeup's resurgence.
- Global beauty market expected to grow 5% annually through 2030.

Jefferies has upgraded Ulta Beauty to a 'buy' rating, with a raised price target of $700 per share, suggesting a 26.5% potential increase from recent trading levels. This optimistic outlook stems from the company's strategic pivot to enhance its differentiation from competitors and leverage the sustained demand for beauty products.
The investment firm's analyst, Sydney Wagner, noted increased confidence in Ulta's revenue resilience, attributing it to a broadening beauty market and renewed engagement with makeup products. Improved merchandise execution and the introduction of new brands are expected to position Ulta favorably to capitalize on market trends.
Ulta is actively differentiating itself by introducing emerging makeup brands, moving beyond basic inventory fills to strategic, trend-driven selections. Makeup constitutes approximately 38% of Ulta's sales, and a strong makeup cycle is anticipated to boost customer traffic and sales frequency, potentially leading to higher quality revenue and improved margins.
The global beauty market is projected to expand by 5% annually until 2030, according to McKinsey. Despite challenges from online competitors offering discounts, Ulta's focus on unique brand offerings and the enduring appeal of makeup are expected to support its stock performance.