What is the current GDP growth forecast for the UK in late 2025?

The UK economy is expected to show minimal growth, potentially reaching zero for the final quarter of 2025.

Which sectors are affecting Britain's economic performance?

Manufacturing and retail sales are showing mixed signals, with a recovery in manufacturing but weak retail performance.

What did Prime Minister Keir Starmer state as his priority?

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has declared economic growth as his number one priority.

Home / Business and Economy / UK Economy Stalls: Growth Flatlines at Year-End

UK Economy Stalls: Growth Flatlines at Year-End

11 Jan

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Summary

UK GDP growth expected at 0.2% in November, following a 0.1% contraction in October.
Economy on track for zero growth in the final quarter of 2025.
Manufacturing and retail sectors show mixed signals, impacting overall economic performance.

UK Economy Stalls: Growth Flatlines at Year-End

The British economy is poised for stagnation as it concluded last year, with official figures anticipated to show very modest growth. November's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is forecast to have expanded by 0.2 percent, a slight uptick after a 0.1 percent contraction in October. This trajectory suggests the economy is heading towards zero growth for the entire fourth quarter of 2025, a slowdown from a healthier first half.

Factors influencing this economic climate include a recovery in manufacturing, which had been impacted by a cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover. Retail sales in November, while not as poor as October's, remained weak. Additionally, a five-day doctors' strike may have contributed to the subdued performance, affecting consumer spending and business activity.