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Palantir Stock: Options Predict 9.6% Move
28 Jul
Summary
- Options data suggests a 9.6% stock price fluctuation for Palantir.
- Past earnings reports showed actual moves exceeding predictions.
- Recent reports saw stock price drops despite implied positive moves.

Options trading data suggests that Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A (PLTR) shares are poised for a notable price adjustment, with a predicted fluctuation of 9.6% following the company's earnings announcement scheduled for August 3rd, after market close. This prediction is based on an analysis of options market activity.
Historical performance indicates that Palantir's stock price has, in certain instances, deviated significantly from the movements anticipated by options traders. For example, on February 3rd, 2025, the stock surged by 31.5%, far exceeding the 13.2% implied by options. A similar pattern occurred on November 4th, 2024, when the stock rose 14.0% against an implied move of 12.9%.
However, recent earnings reports have presented a different narrative. In the most recent announcement on May 4th, Palantir's shares experienced a 5.0% decline, which was contrary to the 8.9% implied move suggested by options. Similarly, on February 2nd, the stock dropped 6.9%, diverging from an 8.7% implied move. These past performances highlight the potential for volatility around earnings releases.