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Oracle Stock Plummets: Citi Sees Opportunity Amidst Sell-Off
26 Aug
Summary
- Oracle's stock has experienced a nearly 40% sell-off over the past 12 months.
- Citi initiated a 'positive catalyst watch' with an unchanged $330 price target.
- Analysts remain largely bullish, with 86% holding Buy or Strong Buy ratings.

Cloud computing giant Oracle (ORCL) is facing significant headwinds, with its stock price plummeting nearly 40% over the last 12 months. This drastic sell-off has prompted Citi analyst Tyler Radke to initiate a "positive catalyst watch," keeping his $330 price target unchanged. Radke believes the stock presents an opportunity following an extreme drawdown, citing robust AI demand and positive read-throughs from competitors as catalysts for estimate revisions.
Despite concerns about aggressive AI growth expectations, potential heavy infrastructure spending impacting margins, and intense competition from rivals like Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services, the majority of Wall Street analysts remain optimistic. Data indicates that approximately 86% of covering analysts maintain a Buy or Strong Buy rating on Oracle's stock.
However, some experts highlight significant execution and debt risks, noting S&P's recent downgrade of Oracle's debt to triple B minus, just one notch above junk status. The company's strategy appears to be a gamble on continued demand and its ability to expand capacity, though this expansion will take time. Oracle's stock has notably underperformed its large-cap tech peers in recent months, experiencing a substantial peak-to-trough plunge within a short period.