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Open Lending Charts Profitable 2026 Path
13 Mar
Summary
- Company expects 2026 loan volume of 100,000-110,000 units.
- Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA projected between $25M-$29M.
- Delinquencies on recent vintages are 200 basis points better.

Open Lending Corporation is forecasting substantial growth for 2026, with an expected range of 100,000 to 110,000 certified loans and adjusted EBITDA between $25 million and $29 million. The company has implemented strategic changes, including refined pricing and stricter underwriting, to overcome conversion rate challenges experienced in late 2025. This disciplined risk management has led to improved performance, with the 2025 loan vintage showing approximately 200 basis points lower delinquency rates compared to prior years.
The company is also leveraging new initiatives like the Apex One Auto platform and Project Red Rocks simulation engine to enhance decision-making and expand its credit spectrum offerings. These advancements, coupled with a strengthened go-to-market strategy and improved credit union health, position Open Lending for sustained, profitable growth. The company has achieved stability in its financial performance, reinforced its balance sheet through debt reduction and share repurchases, and is focused on delivering long-term shareholder value.