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Forecasters Scramble as Nikkei Hits New Peaks
27 May
Summary
- Nikkei forecast to reach 69,000 by end-2025.
- AI optimism is a key driver, but earnings growth supports stocks.
- Japanese equities outperform global indexes due to reforms.

Japan's Nikkei index is expected to continue its ascent to record highs, fueled by AI optimism and robust corporate earnings, a Reuters poll indicates. Forecasters anticipate the benchmark index could reach 69,000 by the end of 2025, following its recent record of 65,408.87. AI enthusiasm is a primary driver, with seven of twelve respondents maintaining their positive outlook. However, stable earnings growth, even without AI, is seen as a sustainable factor for stock gains, contributing to the Nikkei's upward trajectory.
Japanese equities have benefited from additional tailwinds beyond the global AI boom. Reforms centered on shareholder-focused governance and growth-oriented policies have bolstered market sentiment. Consequently, the Nikkei has seen a significant surge, outperforming major indexes in the United States, China, and Europe over the past two years. Despite some predictions of a potential pullback, the underlying economic and corporate performance suggests a continued uptrend.