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Home / Business and Economy / India-US Trade Deal: Market's Next Big Catalyst?

India-US Trade Deal: Market's Next Big Catalyst?

21 Nov, 2025

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Summary

  • India has underperformed emerging markets by 25% this year.
  • Elevated tariffs caused foreign investor discomfort and outflows.
  • A favorable trade deal could resolve investor concerns and boost markets.
India-US Trade Deal: Market's Next Big Catalyst?

The prospect of an India-US trade agreement is a key focus for Indian equities, with analysts suggesting it could be the market's next major catalyst. This potential deal's impact hinges on its clarity and terms, which foreign investors have been closely awaiting.

This year, India has seen a notable underperformance compared to other emerging markets, attributed to shifting tariff expectations and the global AI trade. Lingering high tariffs have created discomfort for foreign institutional investors, leading to sustained capital outflows.

Should the trade deal provide favorable clarity and a path toward reduced trade frictions, it would address a significant concern for global investors. This development is anticipated to act as a powerful catalyst, potentially driving a positive rally in Indian markets.

This story has been auto-aggregated and auto-summarised by a computer program. This story has not been edited or created by the Feedzop team.
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Disclaimer:
Citi's India Research Head believes the deal could trigger the next market rally if it exceeds market expectations.
India has underperformed due to high tariffs and less benefit from the global AI trade compared to other emerging markets.
A favorable deal could reduce trade frictions, ease investor concerns, and potentially lead to increased foreign investment in India.

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