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India's Economy Faces Oil Shock Risk
14 Apr
Summary
- Crude oil at $130 per barrel could reduce India's growth by 80 basis points.
- Strong domestic fundamentals will help India manage high oil prices.
- Corporate and banking sectors are healthier, aiding economic resilience.

India's economic growth faces a potential downturn if crude oil prices surge to $130 per barrel in 2026, according to S&P Global Ratings. Such a scenario could lead to an 80 basis point decrease in the country's economic expansion.
However, India's economic resilience is bolstered by strong domestic fundamentals. Government support and a healthier corporate and banking sector are also anticipated to significantly mitigate the impact of rising oil prices.
Despite the associated risks and the possibility of supply disruptions, India is deemed well-prepared to navigate through a period of elevated crude oil costs.