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Food Costs Skyrocket: Climate & Energy Blamed for 50% Rise
4 May
Summary
- Food prices may be 50% higher by November than in 2021.
- Beef and olive oil prices have significantly increased.
- Climate and energy shocks are driving rapid food price growth.

Food prices are on track to be 50% higher in November compared to early 2021, driven by climate and energy shocks. This has led to an almost quadrupling of the pace of food price growth, with costs rising in five years at a rate previously seen over two decades.
Beef prices have climbed 64%, and olive oil has more than doubled. These increases reflect product sensitivity to volatile energy prices, fertilizer costs, and climate impacts like droughts and heatwaves. These factors pushed average household food bills up by £605 in 2022 and 2023.
Experts warn that geopolitical events, such as the conflict in the Middle East, will likely exacerbate inflation. Combined with climate change predictions, including 2027 potentially being the hottest year on record, and the El Niño effect, extreme price fluctuations are anticipated. This situation places immense pressure on low-income families, forcing difficult choices about food consumption.