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Fed on Brink of Historic Tie Vote?
23 Nov, 2025
Summary
- Federal Reserve faces potential deadlock in upcoming rate-setting meeting.
- Policymakers show division, with some leaning hawkish and others dovish.
- A tie vote would leave federal funds rate unchanged, setting no precedent.
The Federal Reserve is experiencing significant internal division, potentially leading to a deadlock at its upcoming rate-setting meeting. Recent statements from policymakers indicate a stark divergence, with some advocating for caution due to persistent inflation while others hint at possible further rate adjustments.
This growing rift, particularly evident among regional Federal Reserve bank presidents, creates uncertainty regarding the committee's next move. Economists are attempting to forecast the vote count, suggesting a potential six-six tie, a scenario for which the Fed has no established procedure.
Such a deadlock would mean the federal funds rate remains unchanged, as a tie vote would not carry a policy change. The absence of a tie-breaking mechanism or precedent means the situation could become exceptionally complex, possibly deferring a decision to a future meeting.
