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Copper Hits Record High Amid Supply Crunch
22 Dec, 2025
Summary
- Copper prices surged nearly 40% this year, reaching record highs.
- Mine outages and AI demand significantly tightened global supply.
- Smelter processing fees hit a record low, forcing production cuts.

Copper prices have soared to unprecedented levels nearing $12,000 a ton as 2025 concludes, marking an impressive nearly 40% annual increase. This significant price jump reflects a market grappling with tight global supply, unexpected mine outages, and growing demand, especially from the energy transition and artificial intelligence infrastructure. The metal's performance has been the strongest since 2009.
Recent market dynamics show a rush of copper towards the US, potentially preempting import tariffs, which is creating a significant undersupply in other global markets. Simultaneously, investors are increasingly channeling funds into copper futures and mining stocks, undeterred by widespread production setbacks and concerning supply chain pressures.
Indicative of the severe supply stress, annual ore supply contract talks yielded record-low processing fees of zero dollars per ton for smelters. This financial squeeze has already compelled some smelters to reduce or halt operations, further tightening the availability of refined copper traded on major exchanges and impacting future supply outlooks.