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Cisco's AI Surge: Hype or Sustainable Growth?
16 Dec
Summary
- Cisco's Q1 FY26 revenue grew 8% YoY to $14.9 billion.
- The $28 billion Splunk acquisition aims to enhance software and AI offerings.
- Product orders surged 13% YoY, driven by AI hardware demand.

Cisco Systems is experiencing a significant surge, with its stock climbing nearly 30% year-to-date in 2025, approaching dot-com era valuations. The company's Q1 FY26 financial results revealed an 8% year-over-year revenue increase to $14.9 billion, with product revenue rising 10%. This growth was substantially driven by demand for AI-ready switches and Wi-Fi 7 gear, contributing to a 13% year-over-year rise in overall product orders.
The integration of Splunk, acquired for $28 billion, marks a strategic pivot for Cisco towards higher-margin software and AI platforms. Splunk's tools for log management, SIEM, and observability are expected to complement Cisco's existing offerings, providing a unified view of application performance and security. Management highlighted a significant deal secured through joint Cisco-Splunk sales efforts in Q1 FY26.
Despite impressive headline figures and a growing annual recurring revenue of $31.4 billion, concerns linger regarding the long-term sustainability of Cisco's growth. Skeptics point to its hardware-intensive nature and competition from agile rivals, questioning whether the recent stock performance is driven by genuine transformation or market hype. The company's ability to transition into a high-margin software and AI business will be crucial.




