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China Lending Surges: Stimulus Hints at Economic Turnaround
15 Oct
Summary
- New bank lending in China significantly exceeded expectations in September.
- Policymakers increased targeted monetary support to bolster a slowing economy.
- Third-quarter GDP data is eagerly awaited for economic stabilization signs.
New bank lending in China experienced a significant increase in September, surpassing economists' expectations and marking a substantial recovery from the previous month's performance. This uptick is attributed to intensified targeted monetary support from policymakers aimed at revitalizing the country's economy. Specifically, Chinese banks extended 1.08 trillion yuan in new loans, a marked improvement from August's 60 billion yuan. This surge, particularly in corporate loans which rose to 1.29 trillion yuan, suggests that recent stimulus measures might be starting to yield positive results. However, the overall credit growth and a record low in outstanding yuan loans point to ongoing weakness in demand from both households and businesses. The central bank has been favoring targeted easing measures over broad-based stimulus, a strategy that is expected to continue despite calls for more significant interventions. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming third-quarter GDP data, due on October 19, for clearer signs of economic stabilization, especially in light of the property sector's downturn and subdued consumer sentiment. While exports showed strength, contributing to a widening trade surplus, the broader economic picture remains complex.