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Bitcoin Wobbles: Bottom or Deeper Dive?
12 Nov
Summary
- Bitcoin's price declined 8.55% last week, trading at $73,752.
- Conflicting data suggests potential bottoming or a deeper correction.
- US buyers are hesitant, and fresh cash is leaving the market.
Bitcoin's price experienced an 8.55% decline over the last week, settling at $73,752. This downturn has triggered a series of bearish signals across the cryptocurrency market, leaving investors questioning whether the current levels represent a market bottom or the initial phase of a more substantial correction.
Analysis from CryptoQuant suggests profit-taking, hawkish Federal Reserve actions, and past events contributed to the slide. Despite some historical data points suggesting previous bottoms were marked by similar conditions, current readings show a deeper dip in Bitcoin's Bull Score than seen in April 2025. Furthermore, apparent demand has fallen significantly, and while buy orders have outnumbered sell orders recently, open interest suggests new short positions may be building.
However, the case for a deeper slide is strengthened by several factors. US buyers appear to be holding back, as indicated by the negative Coinbase Premium Index for 30 days. Stablecoin supply has also seen its fastest drop since June 2022, signaling a retreat of fresh capital. Moreover, recent buyers are largely at a loss, and overall market sentiment has turned bearish.
Bitcoin's immediate future hinges on key price levels. Reclaiming the 365-day average around $76,400 is crucial for restoring a bullish outlook. Currently, the 200-day moving average at $73.2K acts as a critical separator between a shallow correction and a deeper one. A sustained break below $73,000 could lead to longer consolidation, while a drop below the June low of $58,500 would signal a reversal of the August trend.