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Aussie Inflation Surges: Rate Hike Fears Reignited
27 Aug
Summary
- NAB forecasts an imminent rate rise from the RBA.
- CBA and ANZ now predict a rate increase in November.
- Markets see a 50% chance of a September rate hike.

Following a strong inflation report, major Australian banks are now forecasting additional interest rate hikes later this year. The National Australia Bank (NAB) anticipates an imminent increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) at its upcoming policy meeting.
Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ) have revised their predictions to expect a rate rise in November. This shift in forecast comes after recent inflation data indicated that price pressures may not be easing as expected.
While Westpac maintains its stance on holding rates steady, the market's perception has changed significantly. Traders now see a 50% probability of the RBA raising its cash rate from 4.35% in September, a sharp increase from previous expectations. This reflects growing concerns that inflation risks remain elevated.