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Falling Rates: Importers Gain Leverage in 2026 Contracts
26 Feb
Summary
- U.S. importers are negotiating 2026 ocean shipping contracts with carriers.
- Spot rates have fallen below contract rates, favoring importers.
- Carriers face new ship deliveries, impacting their negotiating position.

Major U.S. importers are set to negotiate favorable ocean shipping contracts for 2026, as falling spot rates grant them significant leverage over global carriers. Talks commence next month, with importers anticipating deals that reflect the current market surplus.
Spot rates from Asia to the U.S. West Coast have recently dipped below long-term contract prices. This trend is attributed to new containerships entering service, a result of pandemic-era profits. Analysts suggest importers may seek 10%-15% lower rates, though carriers, operating near break-even, will likely offer resistance.
Despite some forecasted declines in cargo volumes for early 2026, underlying consumer demand remains robust, driven by higher earners. Importers might delay contract signings until May to capitalize on low spot rates, unlike previous years where early commitments were made to secure space.




