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UK Winter: Mild or Chilly? Forecasters Reveal Odds
3 Dec
Summary
- Only a 10% chance of a noticeably cold UK winter predicted.
- Mild winter has a 25% possibility, with near-average temps likely.
- Unsettled weather with heavy rain and wind expected in coming days.

The latest outlook from the Met Office suggests a low likelihood of an extreme cold winter across the UK, with only a 10% chance of notably chilly conditions. Forecasters indicate a 25% probability of a milder winter and a 65% chance of temperatures being near average.
Despite the overall forecast for a mild or average winter, the immediate future points to unsettled weather. An enhanced jet stream is driving a series of low-pressure systems, bringing heavy rain and colder conditions to northern and western parts of the country.
While the long-range forecast anticipates a continuation of unsettled conditions with showers and strong winds, there's also a possibility of spells of high pressure emerging later in the period. These could bring drier weather, increasing the chances of frost and fog, though near or slightly above-average temperatures are most probable overall.




