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UK Braces for First Snowfall Next Week!
3 Nov
Summary
- Temperatures to drop significantly starting Sunday.
- First snowfall expected around November 12, moving southward.
- El Nino's influence may bring more cold spells this winter.
Weather models are indicating that the United Kingdom could experience its first substantial snowfall of the season next week, accompanied by a notable drop in temperatures. Forecasters predict below-average temperatures beginning Sunday, with increased chances of fog in northern regions. The GFS weather model specifically points to snow flurries commencing around 3pm on November 12 in Northern Ireland and northern Scotland, potentially moving southwards.
By the evening of November 12, heavy snow is forecast for northwestern and central England, with some areas possibly seeing accumulations of around 1cm per hour. The weather system is expected to continue eastward, with East Anglia potentially seeing snow by midnight before moving out to sea. By the morning of November 13, settled snow is predicted across significant portions of Northern Ireland, Wales, England, and Scotland, with 56 counties expected to have some snow cover.
While accumulations on lower ground might be limited to 1-2cm, Scottish hills could see up to 13cm (approximately five inches) of settled snow. Climate experts suggest that this winter's powerful El Nino could lead to further cold spells and snow events in the UK. El Nino can weaken the polar vortex, increasing the probability of wintry conditions and events like Sudden Stratospheric Warming, which can cause prolonged periods of cold weather, similar to the 2018 'Beast from the East'.
